Monday, November 17, 2014

Garware Wall Ropes-The Future Of India In Textile Industry

Garware-Wall Ropes was established in 1976 by the visionary philanthropist late Mr. B. D. Garware in collaboration with M/s Wall Industries Inc. USA. Subsequently, the Cambridge educated Mr. Ramesh Garware took over the reins of the company. At the helm of affairs till end of 2011, he infused dynamism and the culture of time bound result orientation across the organization. Weaving the core competencies of the organization to suit the emerging needs of the customers, he introduced a slew of far-reaching initiatives like capacity expansion, forward integration of operations, setting up a dedicated netting plant, launching new and fabricated products etc. His entrepreneurial instinct coupled with a humane approach has laid the platform for further growth and consolidation of the organization.




While going through the fundamentals of the company, the only issue I faced, is its sector, due to which it might face some resistance, and which I why, I was hesitant in writing about it in detail. However, with tremendous efficiency of the company and a very strong product portfolio, it doesn't seem that company is going to be affected by the trend in overall sector.
The company is managed by very well known group with good experience.
Speaking of numbers, over the years, it has not been impressive, but they have kept on posting decent growth with the kind of business they are in. Recently, the focus on R&D and technology has increased, which is likely to aid the company in posting better growth in future.
The company has paid good dividend over the years, and in past 2-3 years, they have made a significant attempt in reducing the debt levels, which is a big positive.
The debt as of now, stands around 56 Cr compared to somewhere around 125 Cr in 2012.
On account of such reduction, the debt:equity ratio is very stable at around 0.2
The book value of the company stands at 125 Rs per share.

For the first half of this fiscal, the company has posted a sales growth of 23% and net profit growth of  68%. As per management, they are expecting the sales to continue growing at 15-20% annually. Based on FY'14 numbers, the EPS stood at 11.4, which means the stock is trading at a P/E of 16. However, with good profit growth this year, the company is likely to post annual EPS around 16-20, which means currently, the stock is trading at a P/E of 10, based on expected annual FY'15 numbers. The ratio can't be considered less, when compared with overall industry, however, looking at above data, I think the potential is huge in future, and there is plenty of scope for margin expansion.
Current market capitalization stands at 425 Cr vs sales of 688 Cr and net profit of 27 Cr.
It will be interesting to see, how market will value the company. when the sales, as expected by management, reaches 1000 Cr, and net profit stands somewhere in the range of 50-70 Cr annually.
However, looking at its 52 weeks high-low, it seems the stock is in radar of many investors, as it has almost grown 4 times this year.

One of the bigger problems, with the companies in textile sector, has been extremely high competition, which is something I feel, should not be the problem with Garware Wall Ropes, because of their uniqueness & mastery in products. However, as every one knows, somewhere the sector, always influences the price of company.

I am hopeful that some of these projects will enter the late stage development, indicating even better days for the Company. Hence one can buy Garware Wall Ropes Ltd at CMP 179 for long term.It is listed in both the exchanges.
LINK TO COMPANY WEBSITECLICK HERE
DISCLOSURE: IT IS SAFE TO ASSUME THAT I HAVE VESTED INTEREST IN GARWARE WALL ROPES LTD.

Saturday, November 15, 2014

HINDUSTAN MEDIA VENTURES LTD- BEST BUY FOR LONG TERM



HINDUSTAN MEDIA VENTURE ( HMVL)  – is the company publishing famous Hindi daily “HINDUSTAN” which is currently standing at the second position(all India basis)  in all Hindi dailies,  next to Dainik Jagran ( As per IRS Survey 2013) and the fastest growing Hindi Daily .Company also publishing two monthlies – Kadambini (Cultural and Literacy magazine)  and Nandan (exclusively for children) and running Hindi news website http://www.livehindustan.com. Since the business is simple and easy to understand, I am not explaining much about that side. At present “Hindustan” is publishing from 19 locations and at the top position in Bihar and Jharkand . As in the case of any daily , company’s income is coming through subscription charges and advertisement income. Almost 2/3 part of income is coming from advertisement and the rest from subscription charges. In developed countries print media industry is showing negative growth trend due to increasing popularity of  Internet and mobile. But in India , print media is growing at a healthy pace and considering the huge population of currently illiterate and non techno savvy people, growth is expected to continue for many more years. Government’s sincere efforts for illiteracy eradication programmes will positively impact the growth of print media in India in coming years.In order to capitalize any shift of trend in future ,company already entered in web based business through its news website http://www.livehindustan.com
Promoters are holding about 75 % stake in HMVL and another 15 % by mutual funds and big investors including Azim Premji of Wipro.Company’s balance sheet is strong with negligible debt and robust operating cash flow . In addition to this, about Rs.400 Cr available as Cash or cash equivalents with the company  . Company can use this huge amount for growth  either through organic or  inorganic expansion or reward its stake holders through share buy back ..etc in future . Considering the strong growth in circulation, possibility of increase in advertisement charges  going forward , stability in raw material cost and above all a very strong balance sheet ,HMVL remaining as one of the preferred pick from media space and I believe  there is lot of value in it and suitable even for law risk investors who are ready to show patience for steady growth.
Hindustan Media Venture ( HMVL) is listed in both exchanges and trading around Rs.187.



DISCLOSURE: IT IS SAFE TO ASSUME THAT I HAVE VESTED INTEREST IN HT MEDIA VENTURE LTD(HMVL).